The European Union Rejected Trump's Proposal

Gas purchases via Europe will not begin.

The idea, which originated in Washington, to resume Russian gas supplies to Europe via Ukraine as part of a peace settlement has not yet found support among European politicians. There are no plans to resume such purchases, and U.S. representatives did not raise this issue during the talks in Brussels on Ukraine’s post-war economic recovery and security guarantees, according to EUobserver reported.

“The EU is firmly committed to reducing its dependence on Russian fossil fuels,” said one of the EU diplomats. A second diplomat noted: “At this point, we see no grounds for easing sanctions or restrictions against Russia in any area. On the contrary, in light of the barbaric and cynical attacks on Ukraine’s civilian population and infrastructure, we consider it necessary to increase pressure and tighten restrictions.”

In October, Ukraine’s Western partners held two meetings on the topic of the country’s post-war reconstruction. The third meeting is taking place on Wednesday and Thursday in Brussels; in addition to the Ukrainian delegation, it includes national security advisors from France, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United States, as well as high-ranking representatives from the European Commission, NATO, and the World Bank. “We had two briefings on the results of the talks with the U.S.—the issue of purchasing Russian gas was not raised,” a third diplomat told EUobserver.

The U.S. approach to a peaceful settlement provides for economic benefits for Ukraine and Russia, in addition to security guarantees. At a meeting between the Ukrainian delegation and Special Envoy Steve Whitcoff in early October at his villa in Miami, discussions focused, in particular, on the economic reintegration of Russia, Ukraine, and Europe based on an agreement in the energy sector. Part of this could be a pipeline to transport Russian oil and gas to Europe, with Ukraine and Russia sharing the profits from these deliveries.

The Americans propose delivering gas via a pipeline through Ukraine, with the U.S. acting as an intermediary.

Economist Vladislav Inozemtsev, an associate researcher at the Royal Institute of International Relations, considers such a deal economically viable (regardless of the realism of the prospects for resuming Russian gas exports). In his view, it would allow the EU to save more money on cheaper Russian gas than the Union currently allocates to Ukraine—and thereby resolve the issue of the cost of its support for the long term.

As a result, funding for Ukraine could be increased both by imposing a tax on consumed Russian gas—which would finance arms purchases—and by Kyiv receiving transit fees, Inozemtsev believes. And the U.S. would have an additional reason to push for this deal, as it would guarantee funding for purchases of American weapons, he adds.

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