The Guardian: Lukashenko Is Preparing To Play A More Active Role In The War

Ukraine is strengthening its northern border.

Ukraine is strengthening its defenses along its northern border amid fears that Belarus may be drawn even further into the war on the side of Russia.

Defensive structures are already being reinforced along the Ukrainian-Belarusian border, and intelligence and border guards are closely monitoring the activity of troops and drones near the border, reports The Guardian.

Journalists explained that since the beginning of 2026, the Ukrainian military has recorded an approximately 20 percent increase in the activity of Russian reconnaissance drones operating from Belarusian territory.

There are also reports of new Russian drone bases appearing near the Belarusian border and of the expansion of infrastructure that could potentially be used to support Russian operations.

Despite this, Ukrainian and European analysts do not yet see any signs of a strike force being assembled in Belarus for a new offensive against Ukraine. At the same time, they warn against Minsk’s gradual integration into the Russian military machine.

The authors of the article emphasized that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and former Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba suspect that Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko may be preparing for more active participation in the war.

Against this backdrop, Ukraine is reinforcing its northern front with anti-tank barriers, barbed wire, and additional surveillance equipment.

The article notes that the main threat to Kyiv lies not so much in the direct entry of the Belarusian army into combat operations as in Belarus becoming a stable staging ground for Russian operations against Ukraine.

Experts also believe that the Kremlin’s strategy may not involve a sharp escalation, but rather a gradual expansion of Belarus’s role in the war, which creates additional risks to the security of Ukraine and the entire region.

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