Yuri Fedorov On The Situation In Crimea: Russia Needs To Cut Its Losses And Surrender
- 18.06.2026, 16:31
- 2,740
The fate of the occupied peninsula is a foregone conclusion.
Ukraine will be able to reclaim Crimea in the near future, and Putin’s army will be forced to flee to the “mainland.” This was stated by military expert and analyst Yuri Fedorov in an interview with YouTube channel of the well-known journalist and political commentator Yevgeny Kiselev.
The website Charter97.org quotes an excerpt from the conversation:
“There are historical analogies that show that this is exactly what has happened several times with regard to Crimea, ” said Yuri Fedorov. “During the Crimean War in the mid-19th century, one of the problems facing the Russian army was that the supply of ammunition and communications with the so-called ‘mainland’ were extremely difficult. Convoys of wagons could not reach Crimea in a timely manner or in sufficient quantities. Then, in the early 1920s: all lines of communication to Wrangel’s army were cut off. And this fairly large contingent of the volunteer army was forced to leave Crimea. Those who remained—their fate was a tragic one.
The fact is that without reliable lines of communication, without the supply of everything necessary for the functioning of the armed forces and the provisioning of the population, Crimea, like a ripe apple, simply falls into the hands of the enemy. The same thing happened at the start of World War II in 1941. When the Germans occupied Perekop, the fate of the Red Army group was sealed. As for the commanders, they simply fled. A 60,000-strong force was simply abandoned. The same thing happened later to a German force, sometime toward the end of the war. So if Crimea finds itself—if its lines of communication are cut off—then that’s it. You have to cut your losses and surrender.
There are three supply routes to Crimea. The first two run through the isthmus: one via Henichesk and Chongar, the other via Armiansk and Perekop. Both of these routes depend on the so-called land corridor to Crimea—that is, the highway that runs to Melitopol and, from Melitopol, south toward Crimea. This system—the bridges on the isthmuses—is highly vulnerable.
That leaves the Kerch Bridge and the maritime supply route. The problem is that it, too, is not immune to all sorts of unexpected developments. And unmanned boats could very well block the routes to Feodosia, Sevastopol, and other ports.
In short, if this trend continues and if, indeed, the two northern routes are cut off, the fate of Crimea will be very, very, very grim for the current local administration and for the Russian troops stationed there. At any moment, swarms of drones or cruise missiles could appear there, which would spoil the feast for the Russian generals and Putin.”
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