U.S. Intelligence: Israel Could Derail A Peace Agreement With Iran
- 20.06.2026, 8:59
- 1,536
Trump was warned.
U.S. intelligence agencies have warned the administration of Donald Trump that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is likely to take steps that could undermine Trump’s efforts to reach a peace agreement with Iran.
This is reported by The Washington Post citing current and former U.S. officials. According to intelligence reports, Netanyahu, facing intense political pressure ahead of the fall elections, intends to continue military operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon—a move that directly contradicts a key provision of the recently signed memorandum, which calls for a cessation of hostilities in that country.
The intelligence report notes that Netanyahu’s political survival depends on what he demonstrates to the Israeli public. According to one official familiar with the document, “any cessation of hostilities or withdrawal of troops will be perceived in Israel as a defeat for Netanyahu.” The intelligence report also describes Israel’s dissatisfaction with the terms of the memorandum, which, according to Tel Aviv, undermine the strategy of maximum pressure on Tehran.
Tensions between the allies are already becoming public. For example, on Wednesday, June 17, Trump stated that he had “a minor disagreement with Netanyahu regarding Lebanon” and urged the Israeli leader not to “demolish buildings every time someone from Hezbollah enters them.”
The White House has already made it clear that it will not tolerate sabotage. Vice President J.D. Vance told reporters the day before that Trump is “the only head of state in the world who sympathizes with Israel,” emphasizing that the U.S. president “is the leader of a superpower.” “If I were in the Israeli government, I wouldn’t attack the only powerful ally I have left,” Vance noted.
“Bibi (Benjamin Netanyahu—TMT) is in a very difficult situation. He sees his main rival—the Iranian regime—gaining strength with the support of the U.S. administration, and there’s nothing he can do about it,” noted Danny Citrinovich, a former analyst with Israeli military intelligence. An unnamed U.S. official, in turn, warned that “without a complete withdrawal of Israeli forces, the likelihood of renewed hostilities between [the Israeli military] and Hezbollah is virtually guaranteed.”
Harrison Mann, a former U.S. Army officer and analyst with the Defense Intelligence Agency, listed the tools Washington has at its disposal to pressure Israel: The U.S. could halt the supply of ammunition and aviation fuel, freeze the exchange of intelligence, or withdraw American troops defending Israeli airspace. However, as Aaron David Miller, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment, noted, U.S. presidents have never used these levers.
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