"An Important Signal": Why Lukashenko Was Summoned To Moscow

Russia may be planning provocations.

The president of the Ukrainian International Institute for Security Studies , Alexei Buryachenko , said “Channel 24” why the head of the Belarusian regime was summoned to Moscow. In his opinion, this trip was hardly Lukashenko’s own initiative, and Belarus is being actively drawn into the Kremlin’s expansionist plans.

The president of the International Institute for Security Studies noted that the Kremlin’s holding of meetings in this format may indicate preparations for new military-political maneuvers. Moscow is capable of staging provocations through Belarusian territory.

“This is indeed a rather dangerous situation, as Russia is planning various kinds of invasions and military special operations through Belarus—both against EU and NATO countries and a possible expansion of the Ukrainian front. First and foremost, this poses a threat to the Suwalki Corridor, Lithuania, Poland, and other Baltic states,” Buryachenko emphasized.

According to him, Lukashenko has long tried to play a double—or even triple—game to counterbalance the overwhelming pressure from Moscow. He sought contacts with the U.S. by releasing political prisoners, engaged with China, and established informal ties with European capitals; however, his room for maneuver is now likely running out.

What does the new wave of mobilization mean for the West?

Alexei Buryachenko noted that Russia has no plans for a genuine negotiation process, and that pressure from the West on Russia remains insufficient for now. According to him, the Kremlin is preparing to mobilize additional resources to expand its aggression after the September 2026 elections.

“Russia will now consolidate all its capabilities so that, after the State Duma elections conclude, it can begin the mobilization process: conscripting between 300,000 and half a million people. Lukashenko’s summons to Moscow should serve as the best possible impetus for European partners and Donald Trump to realize that engaging in peaceful dialogue with Putin is a futile endeavor,” Buryachenko explained.

He also added that the European community lacks a unified understanding of the risks posed by Russia. The president of the International Institute for Security Studies added that Europeans are failing to pick up on political signals—such as Putin summoning Lukashenko to Moscow—when they really should be.

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