The Telegraph: A New Mobilization In Russia Is Inevitable
3- 14.09.2026, 11:07
- 3,978
Putin has problems with his manpower.
Russia is facing a growing shortage of manpower amid massive losses in Ukraine. Moscow may need to carry out a new mobilization, but such a move could create serious political problems for the Kremlin, writes The Telegraph.
The head of Ukrainian military intelligence, Oleg Ivashchenko, believes that Russia’s current resources will last until approximately 2028. According to his data, the Russian army recruits about 1,000–1,200 people daily but loses more than 1,400. Approximately 60% of the losses are fatalities.
This trend makes a new mobilization increasingly likely. However, last time, the Kremlin largely avoided conscripting residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg, where the middle class and a significant portion of the elite are concentrated. Extending the mobilization to major cities could spark strong discontent even among those who usually support the government.
“Russia is not close to collapse, but it cannot fight indefinitely,” writes The Telegraph.
The situation on the front lines is well illustrated by the Lyman area. Ukraine spent months preparing the operation, deploying tanks, infantry, artillery, drones, and aircraft. As a result, Ukrainian forces managed to recapture dozens of square kilometers of territory.
The Russian command, on the other hand, is increasingly sending poorly trained recruits to the front lines in an attempt to plug the gaps that have opened up. This is leading to enormous losses. In some units, a new soldier’s time on the front lines may be measured in days.
At the same time, Moscow still has significant resources at its disposal and is capable of continuing the war. But the cost of this strategy is constantly rising.
“Russia has only one truly risky path—a new mobilization,” the authors argue.
The U.S. and European countries must use the current window of opportunity to strengthen Ukraine and create the conditions for a just end to the war.
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