Trump Has Put Iran On Autopilot

Russia, Cuba, and North Korea may be next on Washington's agenda.

The U.S. struck Iranian positions from which Tehran was preparing to launch missiles carrying mines toward the Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded with several missiles, which, according to available reports, caused no damage. However, according to James Jay Carafano, this exchange of strikes may be only part of a longer-term strategy by the U.S. president 19FortyFive (translation by Charter97.org).

Washington intends to maintain military and economic pressure on Tehran until Iran agrees to U.S. terms. “The White House appears ready to put military and economic pressure on autopilot,” Karafano writes.

Trump is no longer focused exclusively on the immediate political consequences and is prepared to continue the standoff with Iran for the remainder of his presidency.

At the same time, Washington’s attention may soon shift to other areas. Among potential targets, the author names Russia, Venezuela, Cuba, and North Korea. The Western Balkans, African countries, and the South Caucasus are mentioned separately.
Carafano highlights several principles of Trump’s foreign policy: reducing the number of conflicts, eliminating threats before they escalate into large-scale crises, expanding U.S. access to strategic resources, and displacing rivals from regions where they are strengthening their influence.

With regard to Russia, Washington will seek to bring the war in Ukraine to an end. At the same time, the U.S. may more actively promote the Abraham Accords in the Middle East.”

“Who knows where Trump will turn his attention next?” the author wonders. U.S. adversaries should not count on Iran tying the American president’s hands for long.

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