"The Kremlin Regime Is In For Some Very Interesting Developments"
1- 12.06.2026, 10:25
- 2,440
Ukraine's former foreign minister shared his forecast for the end of summer.
Some economists predict that Ukraine’s targeted strikes on Russian logistics facilities and oil refineries could significantly influence the course of the war. Some forecasts even suggest that a peace agreement could be reached as early as mid-July 2026.
Former Ukrainian Foreign Minister (2007–2009) and diplomat Volodymyr Ogryzko emphasized Channel 24 that all developments should be assessed rationally. It is probably obvious to everyone that things are not going too well for the Russians, and the latest strikes on bridges in occupied Crimea confirm this.
When might Russia agree to a ceasefire?
“The enemy’s logistics are suffering greatly. Three out of four key bridges have been destroyed. The question arises: how to supply occupied Crimea with food, ammunition, and equipment, and how to evacuate the wounded. An army without a functioning supply chain cannot advance.
“If operations against the occupiers on the front lines begin at the same pace, we can say that in certain sectors, Russia will very quickly face a difficult choice—to surrender or retreat,” said Volodymyr Ogryzko.
It is difficult to predict exactly when this will happen: in July, August, or perhaps in the fall. It all depends on how unexpected our strikes will be for the Russians. However, there is no doubt that the strikes will definitely happen.
“I think that Putin has a small window of opportunity—roughly until the beginning of fall. If things continue at the same pace, he will ultimately have no way to continue the war,” the former foreign minister emphasized.
So, if internal and external pressures on Russia take effect, this gives reason to hope that in mid-summer to early fall, the Putin regime will face some very “interesting” developments.
What negative changes are already taking place in Russia?
Gasoline prices are skyrocketing across Russia; since the start of 2026, prices have risen by 30–40%. According to economists, this is the most severe crisis in the fuel market in the last three years. The sharpest increase occurred in occupied Crimea—7.5% in a week. Due to the shortage, fuel is being sold on ration cards.
The situation with food is no better on the annexed peninsula. Due to logistical disruptions, store shelves are empty. Even basic necessities are unavailable. This is causing panic among the population. Some supermarkets have already imposed limits on the quantity of goods that can be purchased.
Due to attacks by Ukrainian drones, airports in Russia are practically shut down. Thousands of people are stranded at airports, waiting for their flights. For example, Sochi Airport was open for only 8 minutes over a 2-day period. Nearly 20 flights were canceled, and more than 100 were delayed. Many people are fainting due to the heat, overcrowding, and exhaustion.
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